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5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday
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On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished the week with a small decline. The benchmark index fell 0.25% to 9,058.9 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to rise

The Australian share market looks set for a solid start to the week following a good session on Wall Street on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 41 points or 0.45% higher. In the United States, the Dow Jones rose 1%, the S&P 500 climbed 0.45%, and the Nasdaq pushed 0.45% higher.

Oil prices rise

It could be a positive start to the week for ASX 200 energy shares Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) after oil prices rose on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was up 0.25% to US$87.06 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was up 0.65% to US$94.39 a barrel. This was despite reports claiming that the Iranian government wants to end the war soon.

GYG shares downgraded

Guzman Y Gomez Ltd (ASX: GYG) shares are around fair value now following a recent rally according to analysts at Bell Potter. In response to the quick-service restaurant operator's FY 2026 results, the broker has downgraded its shares to a hold rating with an improved price target of $27.30. It commented: "While we think GYG is a clear leader in the QSR space after displaying strong comp sales growth, margin expansion, and further network growth opportunities, we see near-term cost headwinds and a consumer slow-down as a risk to FY27 guidance and view the current multiple as fairly valued. While we increase our PT ~11%, it is only a modest premium to the share price, so we downgrade to HOLD."

Gold price jumps

It is likely to be a strong start to the week for ASX 200 gold shares Capricorn Metals Ltd (ASX: CMM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) after the gold price jumped on Friday night. According to CNBC, the gold futures price was up 2.4% to US$4,680.6 an ounce. The precious metal hit a three-month high on US dollar weakness.

ASX 200 results

A number of ASX 200 shares will be on watch on Monday when they release their latest results. Among the names to watch are Dan Murphy's owner Endeavour Group (ASX: EDV) regional bank Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Ltd (ASX: BEN), lithium leader PLS Group (ASX: PLS), and health insurance company NIB Holdings Limited (ASX: NHF).

The post 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Endeavour Group and Woodside Energy Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Bendigo And Adelaide Bank and NIB Holdings. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The Motley Fool's purpose is to help the world invest, better. Click here now for your free subscription to Take Stock, The Motley Fool's free investing newsletter. Packed with stock ideas and investing advice, it is essential reading for anyone looking to build and grow their wealth in the years ahead. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson. 2026

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