
Scatec (OB:SCATC) has drawn fresh attention after raising nearly €140 million through a green bond issue. The proceeds are intended to refinance existing debt and support its renewable energy projects and broader sustainable finance approach.
Scatec’s latest green bond comes shortly after its second quarter 2026 results and a separate NOK 1.5b floating rate note issue. The stock’s recent 1 month share price return of 3.28% contrasts with a year to date share price decline of 8.11%, while the 3 year total shareholder return of 37.04% sits against a 5 year total shareholder return that is down 42.10%. This indicates that short term momentum has picked up even though longer term investors have seen mixed outcomes.
Compare Scatec's latest funding move with other potential opportunities by scanning a curated 38 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks benefiting from growing investment in energy infrastructure and grid reliability.
Scatec’s recent green bond and floating rate note issues sit against weak earnings and a mixed share price record. Are investors reacting mainly to the funding reshape, or to a reassessment of what the business is worth?
The most followed narrative values Scatec at NOK129.89 per share, compared with the last close at NOK99.15. That gap is built on a very specific view of future projects and margins.
The company's rapidly expanding growth portfolio, including a record-high backlog of 3.2 GW, an additional 2 GW under construction, and a pipeline of 7.7 GW of mature projects across multiple technologies and geographies, signals the potential for continued top-line growth and a doubling of installed capacity over the next two years, which would positively impact future revenues.
Curious what has to happen for that valuation to stack up. The narrative leans on fast revenue expansion, much higher profit margins and a specific earnings multiple. The exact mix of growth, profitability and discount rate is what really drives that NOK129.89 fair value tag.
Result: Fair Value of NOK129.89 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, this Scatec narrative relies on ambitious revenue and margin assumptions, while exposure to emerging market policies and project delays could easily challenge those forecasts.
Find out about the key risks to this Scatec narrative.
There is a very different message from the SWS DCF model. At NOK99.15, Scatec is trading well above the model's future cash flow value of NOK10.92, which scores as overvalued. That raises a simple question for investors: Are analyst growth assumptions strong enough to bridge such a wide gap?
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Scatec for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 270 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.
If this mix of optimism and caution around Scatec feels familiar, use it as a prompt to act quickly and test the numbers yourself. To see how current expectations balance 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign, review the 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign
Do not stop with Scatec. Broaden your watchlist with other stocks that fit clear financial themes so you are not relying on a single story.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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