LyondellBasell Industries stock has delivered a strong run year to date, yet common valuation checks still lean toward the shares looking cheap rather than fully priced in.
- The stock is up 40.9% year to date, which puts recent gains in focus for anyone considering how much value may be reflected in the current price.
- For a chemicals producer like LyondellBasell, future returns can hinge on how well it manages margins through the cycle. At the same time, exposure to swings in demand for plastics and other end markets can work against those efforts.
- On broader valuation checks, LyondellBasell scores highly and screens as undervalued in most metrics. This suggests the stock still looks inexpensive on several common multiples and cash flow based measures.
For investors, the debate is whether the recent rally in LyondellBasell has already captured most of that apparent discount or if the current valuation still leaves meaningful upside potential.
Compare LyondellBasell Industries' strong year to date run with other stocks that still screen as potentially mispriced by checking the hand picked 49 high quality undervalued stocks list.
Is LyondellBasell Industries a Bargain on Sales?
P/S is a useful cross check for LyondellBasell Industries because revenue tends to track the volume and pricing of its chemicals output across the cycle.
LyondellBasell trades on a P/S ratio of about 0.6x, which sits below both the Chemicals industry average of 1.2x and the peer group average of 0.7x. In a simple peer and sector comparison, the stock changes hands at a lower price for each dollar of sales than many competitors.
The fair P/S ratio that reflects LyondellBasell’s profile is set at 1.1x. This is well above the current 0.6x and indicates a sizeable gap between the price investors pay today and the level suggested by this framework. For readers, this suggests that the recent share price strength has not fully closed the apparent discount on a sales based view.
On the P/S multiple, LyondellBasell Industries stock appears undervalued relative to what this model indicates would be a fair valuation.
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
The LyondellBasell Industries Narrative: What Would Justify Today's Price?
Simply Wall St Narratives for LyondellBasell Industries connect the valuation puzzle above with the assumptions that would need to hold on growth, margins and earnings for the stock to be worth materially more or less than today's price. These Narratives sit on the company’s Community page.
Rather than stopping at a single output from a ratio or model, Narratives set out the future path that figure relies on so you can judge over time whether LyondellBasell Industries' actual progress lines up with it.
One of the top community narratives on LyondellBasell Industries: 30% undervalued
"LyondellBasell's rapidly scaling investment and leadership in commercial advanced recycling, including MoReTec-1 and planned MoReTec-2, positions it to seize first-mover advantage..."
Read one of the top narratives on LyondellBasell Industries
Do you think there's more to the story for LyondellBasell Industries? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
The Bottom Line
LyondellBasell Industries screens as undervalued on common market multiples, with the current P/S ratio sitting well below both sector and peer benchmarks and below the level that some models suggest could be fair. That gap hints at room for the valuation to close if sentiment or comparables shift. However, it also reflects investor caution around cyclical margins and end market demand for plastics and chemicals. The key question from here is whether LyondellBasell can sustain and improve profitability through the cycle so that the discount proves to be an opportunity rather than the market correctly pricing in those risks.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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