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To own McMillan Shakespeare, you need to believe novated leasing and salary packaging can remain attractive benefits as regulation, tax settings and competition keep shifting. The latest 7% lift in novated leases and deeper links with global automotive brands align with that thesis, but do not remove the key near term risk that changes in government policy or tax treatment could materially affect demand and earnings.
The recent half year 2026 earnings release, which showed higher revenue and net profit alongside a lower interim dividend of A$0.62 per share, is particularly relevant here. It highlights how management is balancing capital returns with continued investment in digital platforms like its integrated novated leasing ecosystem, a focus that sits at the heart of both the growth catalyst in productivity gains and the risk that ongoing tech spend may weigh on margins if benefits fall short.
Yet investors should also be aware that if government incentives for EVs or salary packaging rules change, the impact on MMS could...
Read the full narrative on McMillan Shakespeare (it's free!)
McMillan Shakespeare's narrative projects A$635.8 million revenue and A$109.0 million earnings by 2029.
Uncover how McMillan Shakespeare's forecasts yield a A$18.27 fair value, a 13% downside to its current price.
Two Simply Wall St Community estimates cluster between A$16.78 and A$18.27 per share, showing how individual views on MMS can differ. Against that backdrop, the business remains heavily exposed to novated leasing and policy settings on EV incentives, so it is worth weighing how regulatory shifts could influence future performance and exploring a range of investor perspectives.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on McMillan Shakespeare - why the stock might be worth 20% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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