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Allianz's chief economic adviser Mohammed El-Erian said that today's changes in the US bond yield curve have sent two signals. The 2-year and 10-year interest spreads narrowed by about 7 basis points, and the 2-year and 30-year spreads narrowed by about 10 basis points, showing a flattening trend. Erian believes that this reflects a dual interpretation of the fixed income market: in the short term, this is a hawkish repricing carried out by the market after Federal Reserve Chairman Walsh's firm commitment to inflation targets; in the long run, it is a recognition of the Fed's long-term credibility.
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Allianz's chief economic adviser Mohammed El-Erian said that today's changes in the US bond yield curve have sent two signals. The 2-year and 10-year interest spreads narrowed by about 7 basis points, and the 2-year and 30-year spreads narrowed by about 10 basis points, showing a flattening trend. Erian believes that this reflects a dual interpretation of the fixed income market: in the short term, this is a hawkish repricing carried out by the market after Federal Reserve Chairman Walsh's firm commitment to inflation targets; in the long run, it is a recognition of the Fed's long-term credibility.
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