
Mercedes-Benz Group (XTRA:MBG) has drawn fresh attention after recent trading left the stock at €46.97 as of 31 August 2026, with return figures giving investors a concise view of recent share performance.
Over the past week Mercedes-Benz Group has seen a 7 day share price return of 4.56%. However, the 90 day share price return is down 5.98% and the year to date share price return is down 24.16%, while the 1 year total shareholder return is down 5.21%. This signals fading momentum compared with its longer term 5 year total shareholder return of 16.62%.
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Mercedes-Benz Group still looks like a substantial business, even after a year to date share price decline of 24.16%. The key issue now is whether that recent weakness already reflects fair value or not.
At a last close of €46.97, the most followed narrative for Mercedes-Benz Group points to a higher fair value of about €57.11, built on detailed revenue, margin and cash flow forecasts.
The upcoming launch of over 25 new models, including core segment EVs built on the advanced, flexible Mercedes-Benz Electric Architecture (MB.EA), positions Mercedes-Benz to capitalize on the global shift toward electric vehicles and premium electrification, supporting future revenue growth and higher average selling prices. Strategic emphasis on proprietary digital platforms, notably the MB.OS operating system, will enable Mercedes-Benz to generate high-margin, recurring revenue through over-the-air updates and connected services, driving long-term improvement in operating margins and earnings.
Want to see what kind of revenue mix, margin uplift and profit multiple this narrative is baking in for Mercedes-Benz Group. The underlying assumptions may surprise you.
Result: Fair Value of €57.11 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, investors also need to weigh softer China demand and higher electrification and software investment, which could pressure Mercedes-Benz Group margins and cash generation if conditions worsen.
Find out about the key risks to this Mercedes-Benz Group narrative.
Given the mixed signals around Mercedes-Benz Group, it makes sense to move quickly and review the data for yourself. To see both the potential upsides and the key issues investors are watching, take a closer look at the 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs.
If you stop at Mercedes-Benz Group, you may miss other opportunities that better match your goals. Use the Simply Wall Street Screener to widen your search intelligently.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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