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To own Progress Software, you need to believe its mix of mature tools and newer AI products can keep earnings resilient while it leans on acquisitions and steady maintenance revenue. The new AI features in Telerik and Kendo UI reinforce the short term catalyst of deepening its value to existing developers, but they do not fundamentally change the key risk that execution on M&A and cloud transition could pressure margins if costs rise faster than revenue.
The recent AI powered Telerik and Kendo UI release is especially relevant, because it extends Progress Software’s toolkit into agent assisted UI creation, debugging and legacy modernization, areas where enterprise customers often have entrenched projects. If these capabilities help keep large customers engaged with Progress tools as they modernize applications, they may support recurring revenue and partially offset concerns about slower organic growth and exposure to older on premise technologies.
But against this positive AI story, you should still be aware of the risk that heavier spending to keep pace in AI could start to squeeze margins if...
Read the full narrative on Progress Software (it's free!)
Progress Software's narrative projects $1.0 billion revenue and $74.3 million earnings by 2029.
Uncover how Progress Software's forecasts yield a $55.80 fair value, a 25% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts were already assuming roughly flat revenue near US$1,000,000,000 and earnings falling toward about US$71,200,000, so compared with the consensus their story is far more cautious about margin pressure from legacy products and acquisitions even before Progress unveiled its new AI agents, which is exactly why it can be useful for you to weigh several very different viewpoints side by side.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Progress Software - why the stock might be worth just $45.00!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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