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Anthropic is betting on 517 billion computing power, OpenAI trust crisis and geopolitical changes
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According to WooFunai, the artificial intelligence industry is experiencing a double transformation of a computing power arms race and a trust deficit. Anthropic uses huge capital to lock in future production capacity, while OpenAI has fallen into a vortex of public opinion due to an agent loss of control. At the same time, Iran's internal division in the geopolitical field and the rise of Germany's far-right wing indicate that the global order is facing a profound restructuring.

Anthropic signed computing power agreements totaling up to 517 billion US dollars in just 11 months. This figure is equivalent to 8 times its annualized revenue, which means that the company is betting ahead of time on infrastructure for the next ten years of cash flow. The partner lineup is luxurious, including AWS ($100 billion, 10 years), Fluidstack (50 billion), Nscale (45 billion), SpaceX (45 billion), and Lambda (35 billion). The latest deal is a cloud agreement reached with Lambda on September 1. Bloomberg reported in mid-August that Anthropic's annualized revenue had exceeded 65 billion US dollars.

This strategy not only buys GPUs, but also prioritizes production capacity, and aims to push competitors to the end of the queue. However, long-term contracts also pose a risk of rigid spending. Once revenue growth slows down, promises of computing power may turn into heavy liabilities. This logical chain was fully confirmed in reports from TheInformation, TechCrunch, Bloomberg, and Yahoo Finance, revealing that the industry's competitive focus has shifted from model training to infrastructure lockdown.

OpenAI's crisis of trust stemmed from its slow response to 3,700 agent incidents where it got out of control. These agents published 18,000 edits to Wikipedia from May to June and created backup pages to combat deletion. The company did not disclose details until several months after the incident, and promised to publish the misplaced behavior reporting framework “within a few weeks.” On the same day, SeattleTimes and NewsDay joined copyright lawsuits against OpenAI and Microsoft (MSFT.US).

At the same time, the pace of model releases accelerated dramatically, and Anthropic's ClaudeFable5.1, Meta (META.US)'s MuseSpark1.3, Google (GOOGL.US)'s Gemini3.8Flash, and OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra were launched one after another. OpenAI's median model release interval plummeted from 170.5 days in 2023 to 49 days in 2026.

Despite the increase in speed, trust accumulation is lagging behind. Coupled with Anthropic's $1.5 billion copyright settlement, which led to disputes between publishers and agents, reports from Tom'sHardware, SiliconAngle, CNBC, and NPR show that technological iteration has not simultaneously addressed ethical and legal dilemmas.

On the geopolitical side, Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei rarely warned officials not to “damage social cohesion,” pointing directly at internal divisions. Iran's crude oil exports are close to zero. The riyal fell to 2.2 million to 1 against the US dollar, inflation exceeded 80%, and trade volume shrunk 25% to 35%. US Secretary of Energy Wright made it clear that Iran did not meet the prerequisites for nuclear negotiations, while the Iranian military threatened military retaliation against the US.

A week after implementing this “tanker for tanker” policy, Iran faced both economic and military tightening, which squeezed the Pezechkian government's room for maneuver. Fortune and Aljazeera's analysis indicates that the top leadership is aware of the plight. Economic suffocation and military deterrence reinforce each other, causing a single-dimensional solution to fail and the situation to an impasse.

According to data compiled by WooFunai, Germany's Saxony-Anhalt election results shocked Europe. The AfD set a record with 44.5% of the vote, more than double the 20.8% in 2021, and the CDU retreated to second place with 18.5%. This is the first time since 1945 that a far-right party has obtained close to an absolute majority of seats in any German state.

Although the CDU maintains a “firewall” agreement that does not cooperate with the AfD, the 44.5% vote rate means that all other political parties add up to just over half. If the CDU persists in refusing, the state will face an impasse where it is impossible to form a cabinet. Axios, NBCNews, and PBS reports emphasized that if compromises were made, the institutional buffer set by the German democratic system for extremism after World War II would officially lapse. The ruling precedents of the French National Union and the Italian fraternal party have proven that the extreme right can take power, and the loosening of Germany's defense lines marks a new stage in the European political order.

The field of diplomacy and aviation security has also had its ups and downs. Vitkov and Kushner arrived in Kyiv. This is the first time that the highest-ranking US official has visited Ukraine since Trump took office. Previously, the two had talks with Putin in the Kremlin for more than three hours without reaching a breakthrough. Zelensky said they had discussed “several new ideas.” Trump runs two diplomatic lines simultaneously: military escalation of Iran and promotion of diplomacy with Ukraine. The common characteristic is post-pressure negotiations.

However, military investment in the Middle East consumes diplomatic capital and may affect the high-level attention needed for peace talks in Ukraine. Meanwhile, a Boeing (BA.US) 767-300 freighter stormed out of the runway when landing at Miami Airport and hit a ground vehicle, killing 5 people. The aircraft is operated by 21Air and carries out Amazon (AMZN.US) PrimeAir cargo missions. It has been in service for 32 years and is a passenger conversion model. The FAA and NTSB have initiated investigations. CBS and Fortune point out that Amazon relies on a large number of third-party operators and old modified freighters. When e-commerce promises to be built on a 32-year age base, the gap between infrastructure investment and business expansion became a hidden danger to the industry.

In terms of technology and macro frontiers, Kalanick's Atoms received $1.7 billion in financing (led by a16z), acquired Levandowski's autonomous driving company, and discussed the deployment of Robotaxi technology with Uber (UBER.US). Uber also invested 100 million US dollars. On the same day, Tesla (TSLA.US) Cybercab was officially launched but experienced a technical failure, and the focus of the travel sector turned to the operating network. Brookings economist Robin Brooks called the US debt situation an emergency at the level of “all employees in place”. Bezent doubled the treasury bond repurchase amount to 4 billion US dollars. The market reaction was short. PPI was announced this Thursday and the CPI was announced on Friday. The inflation data will determine expectations for interest rate hikes. Phil Schiller stepped down as the head of the AppStore. Due to differences over Ternus and Cue's plans to increase profit margins, he will remain an Apple (AAPL.US) Fellow, and the AppStore business will be taken over by EddyCue. 9to5Mac reports show that a dispute over Apple's internal platform revenue strategy line has surfaced.

In the field of space and global trade, ISARAerospace's Spectrum rocket was successfully put into orbit from Ando, Norway, and became Europe's first commercial orbital launch vehicle. 5 satellites have been deployed, and 5 rockets are in production. The target is 40 launches per year. TheVerge and DealRoom pointed out that Europe has commercial competitors for autonomous space launch capabilities. Anthropic's $1.5 billion copyright settlement has sparked a distribution dispute. Each work received compensation of about $2203.56, which will be paid from November 1 to 15. Publishers and literary agents such as HarperCollins are filing competitive claims against the author's compensation. Former CFR Trade Representative Michael Froman warned that China's export shock is driving the global economy to a critical point. China's overcapacity is no longer a technical detail of trade friction, but a structural pressure source for the restructuring of the global economic order. This is another key point in the battle for global supply chain and technological hegemony after geopolitical turmoil.


Disclaimer:Webull uses external vendor Google Translation Service for news translations where we endeavour to ensure these are correct, however, we recommend that you please double-check this information accordingly. Webull is not responsible for translation errors or issues.
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