Prediction markets are increasingly converging on the first quarter of 2027 as the likely time when a company will formally announce it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence.

AGI in 2027?

As of this writing, Kalshi prices in a 62% chance that any company, public or private, makes a formal announcement before April 1, 2027, up from 32% the day before. The odds climbed to a record high of 72% before easing slightly.

Moreover, the probability that OpenAI would declare it had achieved AGI before the end of 2026 stood at 24.7%, while the odds of such a declaration occurring in 2027 were higher, at 50%.

OpenAI to Lead the Way?

Excitement has mounted after Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ: NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang declared that artificial general intelligence has arrived with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra.

OpenAI President Greg Brockman shared Huang’s post and said the company is "now moving into the AGI era."

Put simply, AGI is a hypothetical computer program or machine that can learn, think and solve any intellectual task that a human can.

OpenAI has released the model to a select group of organizations and plans a rollout to all ChatGPT users gradually.

Sharif Shameem, who works on the OpenAI Labs team, shared a video of Astra completing all 48 levels of Neal. fun’s famous “I’m Not a Robot” game.

Astra has successfully beat all 48 levels of the "I’m Not a Robot" game: pic.twitter.com/DoDyx2V85v

— Sharif Shameem (@sharifshameem) September 7, 2026

Kalshi and Benzinga have an existing data collaboration agreement.

Photo Courtesy: Alex Photo Stock on Shutterstock.com

Disclaimer:This article represents the opinion of the author only. It does not represent the opinion of Webull, nor should it be viewed as an indication that Webull either agrees with or confirms the truthfulness or accuracy of the information. It should not be considered as investment advice from Webull or anyone else, nor should it be used as the basis of any investment decision.