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As crude oil prices fall, interest spreads on French treasury bonds may ease to a certain extent today, but the long-term outlook is still bleak. The weakening of global bond market sentiment is particularly bad for France. The increase in French 10-year treasury bond yields this week was far higher than that of German treasury bonds during the same period. This largely reflects the more volatile nature of French treasury bonds, and also reflects market consensus: the longer global financing costs continue to be high, the greater the fiscal pressure on highly indebted economies. Rapid economic growth can usually cushion the impact of a widening fiscal deficit, but France does not currently have this condition. The French National Bureau of Statistics predicts that the country's economic growth rate this year will hit its lowest level since 2012.
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As crude oil prices fall, interest spreads on French treasury bonds may ease to a certain extent today, but the long-term outlook is still bleak. The weakening sentiment in the global bond market is particularly bad for France. The increase in French 10-year treasury bond yields this week was far higher than that of German treasury bonds during the same period. This largely reflects the more volatile nature of French treasury bonds, and also reflects market consensus: the longer global financing costs continue to be high, the greater the fiscal pressure on highly indebted economies. Rapid economic growth can usually cushion the impact of a widening fiscal deficit, but France does not currently have this condition. The French National Bureau of Statistics predicts that the country's economic growth rate this year will hit its lowest level since 2012.
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