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Is AI Services Deal Altering The Investment Case For Elisa Oyj (HLSE:ELISA)?
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  • Elisa Oyj and Kempower Corporation agreed in September 2026 that Elisa will deliver AI powered IT services, including end user support, Device as a Service and Microsoft 365 professional services, to support Kempower's globally expanding workforce through a single accountable partner model.
  • The deal gives Elisa recurring service exposure to Kempower's international roll out, with AI driven support, automation and device provisioning tying the telecom group more tightly into a client's everyday operations.
  • We will now explore how this AI focused Kempower partnership could influence Elisa Oyj's investment narrative around automation, cost efficiency and B2B scale.
Seize this AI push at Elisa Oyj as a starting point and scan our hand picked 92 AI infrastructure stocks powering the next wave of digital workplaces.

Elisa Oyj Investment Narrative Recap

To be comfortable owning Elisa Oyj, you need to believe its mix of Finnish connectivity, international software and enterprise IT can turn slow top line growth into steadier earnings over time. The Kempower deal fits that story by putting automation and AI into real customer workflows, although on its own it does not change the near term picture.

The bigger swing factors still sit elsewhere. The key short term catalyst remains delivery on the €40m cost reduction and automation program, which could support margins if executed well. The main risk is price pressure in Finnish mobile and high debt levels squeezing flexibility if competition or funding costs bite harder.

The Kempower agreement connects directly with Elisa Oyj’s push into corporate IT and AI driven automation. It looks like a proof point for the transformation plan that targets €40m of annual savings by 2026, since the same tools used internally are now packaged for a global customer, from ticketless support to device lifecycle management.

For investors, the focus is on how repeatable this type of multi country IT and Microsoft 365 service win becomes. If Elisa can sign more Kesko style corporate and international software contracts with similar AI and automation components, that may support higher quality recurring revenue, while any slowdown in enterprise demand would leave the cost program carrying more of the load.

Elisa Oyj's current analyst script ties the Kempower deal back into a broader earnings and valuation story. Consensus assumes revenue grows by 1.9% per year and earnings climb from €342.2 million today to €409.2 million by 2029, which is an increase of about 20%. On those projections, revenues would reach €2.4 billion and earnings would stand at €409.2 million in 2029, with the equity valued on a P/E of 18.6x compared with 17.4x today.

Uncover why Elisa Oyj's fair value indicates a 12% potential upside to its current price, a gap that could narrow quickly once sentiment aligns with this view.

HLSE:ELISA 1-Year Stock Price Chart
HLSE:ELISA 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Exploring Other Perspectives

One alternate view says the real swing factor for Elisa Oyj is not new AI contracts but the risk that the €40 million cost program disrupts service quality. The most cautious analysts were only pencilling in flat revenue and earnings of about €379.5 million by 2029 before this Kempower news. This leaves plenty of room for opinions, and future forecasts, to shift once you compare several viewpoints side by side.

Explore 4 other Elisa Oyj fair value estimates, including one that indicates up to 18% downside from the current price.

Decide For Yourself

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Looking For More Ideas Beyond Elisa Oyj?

Once you have a view on Elisa Oyj, it can help to widen the lens and compare it with other types of opportunities using the Simply Wall St Screener. That gives you a broader context for risk, income and valuation before you decide where to commit fresh capital.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer:This article represents the opinion of the author only. It does not represent the opinion of Webull, nor should it be viewed as an indication that Webull either agrees with or confirms the truthfulness or accuracy of the information. It should not be considered as investment advice from Webull or anyone else, nor should it be used as the basis of any investment decision.
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