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Commercial Metals (CMC) Targets EBITDA Gains, Is The Stock Still Undervalued?
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Commercial Metals (CMC) drew fresh attention after its stock closed at $63.89 on October 9, 2026, as investors weighed this level against the business’s multi segment steel and recycling operations.

Recent trading in Commercial Metals has been choppy, with a 1 day share price return of 1.25% but a 30 day share price return down 4.88%. Longer term total shareholder returns of 13.48% over one year and 115.69% over five years point to momentum that has built over time rather than faded.

Scan beyond Commercial Metals and evaluate other US-listed materials players with similar infrastructure exposure using our curated 43 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks as a starting point.

Commercial Metals now sits at $63.89 after a mixed near term run, and the real tension is simple: has the bulk of the gains already been booked, or does the current valuation still leave meaningful upside on the table?

Most Popular Narrative: 19% Undervalued

Commercial Metals is being framed as materially cheaper than an assessed fair value of $79.36, given the last close at $63.89. That gap rests heavily on how far its operating overhaul can reshape earnings quality and cash generation.

The Transform, Advance, Grow program now targets over $350 million of gross run rate EBITDA benefits by fiscal 2027, with more than $200 million described as durable margin uplift, which points to further improvement in Commercial Metals net margins and earnings power.

See why 15 investors see Commercial Metals as 19% undervalued.

Result: Fair Value of $79.36 (UNDERVALUED)

Still, the Commercial Metals story can fray if construction demand softens under higher rates or if the TAG and Construction Solutions targets prove harder to deliver.

Find out about the key risks to this Commercial Metals narrative.

Next Steps

Mixed signals on Commercial Metals so far, right, with both concerns and bright spots in the story. If you want to judge the balance of those risks and potential upsides for yourself, go straight to the 5 key rewards and 1 important warning sign.

Looking for more Commercial Metals sized ideas?

If Commercial Metals has you thinking harder about where to put fresh capital next, do not stop at one ticker. Line up a few high quality candidates using focused stock ideas from the Simply Wall Street Screener so you always have alternatives ready.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer:This article represents the opinion of the author only. It does not represent the opinion of Webull, nor should it be viewed as an indication that Webull either agrees with or confirms the truthfulness or accuracy of the information. It should not be considered as investment advice from Webull or anyone else, nor should it be used as the basis of any investment decision.
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