
Autoliv (ALV) heads into its Q3 2026 earnings report on October 23 with consensus forecasts pointing to EPS of $2.23 on revenue of $2.72b, putting execution clearly in focus.
Recent trading has been choppy for Autoliv. The share price is up 5.47% over the past week but down 4.58% year to date, while a 43.62% total shareholder return over five years points to momentum that has been built over a longer horizon.
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Bulls see Autoliv’s recent wobble as a chance to buy quality exposure to auto safety, while bears focus on margin strain and trimmed estimates. The key question is which side today’s valuation actually supports next.
Autoliv’s most followed thesis pegs fair value at $134.81, above the last close at $116.49. This puts the focus squarely on whether cost savings and higher content per vehicle can bridge that gap.
Ongoing efficiency initiatives including automation, digitalization and direct labor reductions have moved forward, with about 1,900 direct production roles reduced in Q3 2025 and a planned closure of Turkey manufacturing operations targeting about US$40 million in annual pre tax savings by 2028. Together, these developments support the case for structurally higher net margins and earnings resilience.
See why 20 investors see Autoliv as 14% undervalued.
Result: Fair Value of $134.81 (UNDERVALUED)
Still, that 2029 earnings path leans heavily on Autoliv offsetting about US$110 million of raw material headwinds and on keeping China and India gains intact.
Find out about the key risks to this Autoliv narrative.
Mixed messages on Autoliv’s outlook so far. If you want to move ahead of the next swing, weigh the 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs.
If you stop with just Autoliv, you risk missing other opportunities that might fit your goals even better, so widen your search using focused screeners.
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