• South Africa’s medium-term budget supports bond markets, keeping fiscal consolidation on track despite the oil shock and weaker growth.
• The main budget deficit is projected to narrow to 3.7% of GDP in 2026/2027 from 4.3% in 2025/2026.
• Gross loan debt peaked at 78.4% of GDP in 2025/2026, but reliance on one-off revenue receipts poses risks.
• Fuel relief withdrawal and rising food costs threaten Treasury’s 3.8% inflation forecast for 2027; growth faces downside risks to its 1.6% forecast.
• Softer core inflation supports holding the repo rate at 7.25% on November 19, though elevated oil prices warrant caution.

Disclaimer: This news brief was created by Public Technologies (PUBT) using generative artificial intelligence. While PUBT strives to provide accurate and timely information, this AI-generated content is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial, investment, or legal advice. Anchor Capital (Pty) Ltd published the original content used to generate this news brief on October 22, 2026, and is solely responsible for the information contained therein.