According to Woofun AI, although BTC is still down 7% throughout the year, questions about its future value-added potential are intensifying. The core contradiction is the huge gap between conservative predictions given by traditional financial institutions and the exponential returns expected by retail investors. Currently, the price of BTC is $80,140.00, and the 12-month price target set by Citigroup (C.US) in early October is only $113,000. Although this value implies a 35% increase, it is far below the $126,000 all-time high (ATH) set in October 2025, and far from the $200,000 target generally anticipated by the market at the beginning of the year. This directly raises the key question: Can BTC still achieve value in the upcoming bull market cycle double?
Judging from the evolution of growth logic, the future growth trajectory of BTC is expected to fundamentally deviate from historical performance. J.P. Morgan Chase (JPM.US) recently predicted that BTC's annualized growth rate will stabilize at 10% over the next ten years. Although this growth rate is higher than that of traditional assets such as stocks, bonds, or gold, it is unremarkable compared to BTC's stellar record of the past decade — data shows that from August 2017 to August 2026, BTC's compound annual growth rate was 37%, and this unconventional growth rate is the core driving force behind its continued surge in value over the past decade.
However, as market capitalization expands, this high growth model is unsustainable. As of 5:59 p.m. EST on October 25, 2026, the current price of BTC was $80,140.00, down 0.26% (or $208.96) on the day. The price range for the day was $80,035.00 to $80,949.00, and the nearly 52-week price range was $57,945.16 to $116,041.09, with a trading volume of 12.9 billion shares.
According to data compiled by Woofun AI, the market value calculated based on listed shares is currently 1.61 trillion US dollars. Unlisted or privately held untradable shares are not included, and the actual implied market value may vary.
If the 10% annual growth rate predicted by J.P. Morgan Asset Management (JPM.US) is strictly followed, BTC's price evolution path will completely change investors' profit expectations. Assuming that for the next three years — which is generally regarded as the length of a typical BTC bull cycle — BTC maintains this growth rate, its price will eventually reach only $112,000.
This result meant that BTC was unable to either double its value or break through a new all-time high again. For investors, this means accepting BTC's shift from a 'tool to get rich to a richer tool' to a 'stable asset'. The 37% compound annual growth rate in the past is a thing of the past. Although the 10% annualized growth rate in the future is superior to traditional financial assets, it is no longer sufficient to support speculative demand that is expected to double capital. BTC is still an excellent long-term investment target, but its era as an easy tool to earn one million dollars may be over, and investors need to adjust their position strategies and earnings expectations according to the new growth paradigm.