
Investors who held Zedcor from the start of the year are down 20.9%, including dividends. That is a painful result for anyone who bought into the story of fast IoT tower rollout, AI monitoring and a 3 year path to much higher earnings and margins. If that was your thesis on 1 January 2026, what did it miss about capital intensity, profitability timing, or competitive pressure that might explain how the period actually unfolded?
Zedcor has already moved. Pinpoint other ways to investigate the theme among 42 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks.
The shares cost CA$6.3 at the start of the period, so anyone looking at Zedcor then had to decide which story about its future to trust more.
The bullish view saw a Fair Value of CA$7, a price implied by its assumptions, backed by a belief that revenue could grow 70.4% a year and that IoT and AI driven monitoring would lift profit margins to 16.4% within three years.
The more cautious narrative put Fair Value at CA$5.6 and still assumed 62.7% annual revenue growth, but stressed risks from capital intensive expansion and the chance that rising competition in remote security could squeeze margins even if tower numbers kept climbing.
Zedcor expanding its credit facility from $75 million to $100 million backed the growth story around tower rollout and U.S. expansion. The same period brought very different accounting evidence. Q2 2026 revenue of $22.7 million compared with $13.536 million a year earlier, while net income moved from a $0.46 million profit to a $2.292 million loss and net margin fell to -10.1%. That mix affected both sides of the original cases.
The episode centered on the timing and cost of growth. When reviewing a capital-intensive strategy, it can be helpful to track net margin direction and interest expense after new borrowing, rather than focusing only on revenue changes.
Today Zedcor trades at CA$5.01, after a loss of 20.9% from the start of the year. The selected Narrative still places its Fair Value above this level, anchored in a belief that the current price underestimates the business built around AI-enabled monitoring and recurring contracts.
Future returns hinge on one core judgment. A buyer today would be assuming that tower deployment and U.S. expansion translate into durable, high-margin recurring revenue that justifies the Narrative's higher figure.
"Rapid expansion of U.S. operations and increasing tower deployment, combined with strong demand from both new and existing customers, positions Zedcor to capture a larger share of a growing North American market for remote security and surveillance solutions, supporting strong recurring revenue growth."
One Narrative has put a figure on that disagreement. → See the Narrative with its higher Fair Value, assumptions and all
Zedcor sells watchers on the ground. You could also think about watchers in orbit.
Remote security customers care about reliable coverage and predictable service.
Other customers want frequent, dependable access to space for their own missions.
One business is developing reusable rockets and satellite hardware to support that backbone.
If space access becomes cheaper and more routine, your Zedcor thesis on recurring monitoring could rhyme with a much larger orbital experiment.
That argument has a Narrative and a number behind it. → See the company one Narrative values 82% above its price
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