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Is Rising Loan Charge Offs Altering The Investment Case For First Hawaiian (FHB)?
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  • First Hawaiian reported third quarter 2026 results with net interest income of US$174.1 million, net income of US$63.73 million and basic earnings per share of US$0.52 from continuing operations, alongside a quarterly dividend of US$0.26 per share declared on October 21, 2026.
  • The bank recorded net loans and leases charged off of US$21.95 million for the quarter, a sizeable jump from US$4.21 million a year earlier, which points to rising credit costs sitting against otherwise steady earnings and dividend signals.
  • This raises the question of how First Hawaiian's investment narrative could be affected by rising loan charge offs alongside a maintained dividend.

Compare First Hawaiian's mix of steady net interest income and rising credit costs with a curated 30 resilient stocks with low risk scores that may better align with a focus on resilience and capital preservation.

First Hawaiian Investment Narrative Recap

To own First Hawaiian, you need to be comfortable with a regional bank that leans heavily on Hawaii, is preparing for a larger footprint with TriCo, and earns most of its money from lending and traditional banking services. The latest quarter shows net interest income of US$174.1 million and quarterly net income of US$63.73 million, which keeps the earnings story intact in the near term.

The key short term swing factor is credit quality. Net loans and leases charged off of US$21.95 million, compared with US$4.21 million a year earlier, point to higher credit costs as the main pressure point. Rising charge offs sit alongside a maintained US$0.26 dividend and steady nine month earnings. As a result, the near term risk appears more concentrated in asset quality than in current profitability.

The dividend affirmation on October 21, 2026 is the announcement that ties most directly to this update. Management declared a US$0.26 per share cash payout for the third quarter, payable November 27 to holders on record as of November 16. That signals the board is comfortable keeping capital returns unchanged for now, even as credit costs move higher.

For you as a shareholder, that dividend decision sits next to two moving pieces. First, the bank is absorbing materially higher net charge offs in the latest quarter. Second, it is working toward the TriCo Bancshares merger, where execution and funding costs already sit on the risk list. Steady dividends while earnings hold up provide some support to the existing catalyst narrative, but they also raise the bar for managing credit and integration risk at the same time.

First Hawaiian's current analyst storyline points to revenues of US$1.8b and earnings of US$620.2 million by 2029, based on an assumed 27.7% yearly revenue growth rate and a move from earnings today of US$284.9 million to that forecast level. This implies roughly a 2.2x increase in profit over the period.

Uncover why First Hawaiian's fair value indicates an 18% potential upside to its current price that may not last much longer.

NasdaqGS:FHB 1-Year Stock Price Chart
NasdaqGS:FHB 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Exploring Other Perspectives

The Simply Wall St Community only contributes two fair value views for First Hawaiian, yet they stretch from about US$29.78 to US$60.03 per share, a wide span for the same bank. You are seeing private investors weighing dividend consistency, rising net charge offs and the TriCo deal differently, so it makes sense to compare several viewpoints before deciding how to position this stock in your portfolio.

Explore another First Hawaiian fair value estimate, including one that suggests it could be worth just $29.78.

Reach Your Own Conclusion

Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.

  • A great starting point for your First Hawaiian research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • See our latest analysis for First Hawaiian. The report includes a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual, the Snowflake, making it easy to evaluate First Hawaiian's overall financial health at a glance.

Looking for more investment ideas beyond First Hawaiian?

If First Hawaiian has sharpened your thinking on risk, income and capital strength, it can help to line it up against other opportunities that share some of those traits. The Simply Wall St Screener lets you quickly filter for different styles so you can build a watchlist that actually matches how you want to invest rather than relying on one bank's story.

  • If capital protection sits high on your list, start with a set of companies assessed for resilience through a 30 resilient stocks with low risk scores that tilts toward steadier risk profiles.
  • Income focused investors can scan for higher yielding payers using a 5 dividend fortresses that filters for businesses offering stronger dividend streams.
  • For those hunting for overlooked opportunities with healthier fundamentals, a 21 high quality undiscovered gems can surface underfollowed stocks that still show solid underlying metrics.
Disclaimer:This article represents the opinion of the author only. It does not represent the opinion of Webull, nor should it be viewed as an indication that Webull either agrees with or confirms the truthfulness or accuracy of the information. It should not be considered as investment advice from Webull or anyone else, nor should it be used as the basis of any investment decision.
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