Recently, a set of Guangdong general high school degree data revealed in the “Xinhua Daily Telegraph” report attracted public attention: it is expected that more than 260,000 new general high school degrees will be added this year, and more than 1 million will be added in the next 5 years. Behind such large-scale public service expansion, there is a hidden “Guangdong problem” of changes in the school-age population: Statistics show that Guangdong has a resident population of 127 million, and the population in Guangdong exceeds 150 million in real time. The nine cities of the Pearl River Delta have gathered a resident population of nearly 80 million, accounting for more than 60% of the province's total resident population. The number of births ranked first in the country for 8 consecutive years, with more than one million new births each year. The accumulation of births after the implementation of the “two children” and “three children” policies has spread the peak of enrolment in Guangdong from elementary school to middle school and high school. Among them, some regions in populous cities such as Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Dongguan, and Foshan have issued degree warnings several times. A vertical comparison also shows that the school-age population in Guangdong is growing rapidly. In 2019, the number of students enrolled in primary schools in Guangdong surpassed Henan, making it number one in the country; in 2025, the number of students enrolled in middle schools in Guangdong surpassed Henan, making it number one in the country. As the peak spread, it was only a matter of time before the number of students enrolled in ordinary high schools in Guangdong became the highest in the country.

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