
To own Boeing, you need to believe that a record backlog in commercial jets, a growing services arm, and a larger defense footprint can eventually outweigh the current production headaches and cash strain. The latest quarter still showed a loss per share from continuing operations, although far smaller than a year ago, which keeps the focus squarely on execution and cash conversion.
The near term catalyst remains credible progress on stabilizing 737 output and turning that backlog into deliveries without fresh quality or regulatory setbacks. The biggest risk is that supply chain friction, program losses in Commercial Airplanes, and heavy debt continue to drag on operating cash flow longer than management expects.
The most relevant recent development for this story is FAA certification of the 737 10. That decision closes a long running certification overhang and completes the 737 MAX family, with the 737 10 representing more than 30% of Boeing's unfilled 737 MAX orders and over 1,500 aircraft in the book.
That approval gives Boeing a clearer path to start delivering a high capacity, lower per seat cost narrowbody at a time when the firm already faces delays ramping 737 production. Turning those 737 10 commitments into on time handovers now sits alongside free cash flow delivery as a practical test of management's ability to manage risk, support the backlog, and keep future earnings targets credible.
Boeing's narrative projects US$125.6b revenue and US$7.9b earnings by 2029. That outlook is built on analysts assuming 10.9% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about US$6b from US$1.9b today.
Uncover why Boeing's fair value indicates a 42% potential upside to its current price, which could narrow quickly as execution risks ease.
One alternate lens on Boeing focuses on margins rather than backlog. The most pessimistic analysts already pencilled in revenue of about US$124.0b and earnings of roughly US$6.3b by 2029, well below the consensus US$125.6b and US$7.9b path. Those pre Q3 views could shift when comparing fresh 737 production headlines with these older margin assumptions.
Explore 5 other Boeing fair value estimates, including one that suggests it could be worth just $221.36.
Don't just follow the ticker. Dig into the data and build a conviction that's truly your own.
If Boeing is on your radar because of its scale, backlog, and moving parts, it can help to compare it with other businesses that share some of those traits or offer a very different risk profile. The Simply Wall St Screener lets you filter for exactly the mix of quality, balance sheet strength, and potential you are comfortable with.
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