
To own Service Corporation International, you need to believe that preneed funeral and cemetery demand, pricing, and cash generation can offset volume pressure from higher cremation rates and softer case counts. The latest quarter shows higher sales and earnings per share versus a year ago, but the story still hinges on converting a large preneed book into steady future services.
The key short term swing factor remains funeral and cemetery volumes relative to expectations, with cremation mix and any one off items affecting profitability. Management’s narrow full year earnings per share guidance range suggests the new results do not radically change that near term setup or the main risks around debt and cash conversion.
The most relevant new data point is Service Corporation International’s updated 2026 guidance for diluted earnings per share excluding special items of US$1.10 to US$1.20. That sits alongside nine month 2026 basic earnings per share from continuing operations of US$2.92 and diluted earnings per share of US$2.90, both ahead of the prior year.
For you as a shareholder or potential investor, that mix of reported earnings and guidance keeps the focus squarely on quality of earnings and cash generation rather than headline P/E or price targets. The combination of preneed growth, higher average revenue per service, and a balance sheet with meaningful debt leaves execution on volumes and margins as the key catalyst and risk pair to watch.
Service Corporation International's current analyst framework points to forecast revenues of US$39.4b and earnings of US$665.6 million by 2029, based on an assumption of very large yearly revenue growth of 107.4%. Consensus estimates compare forecast earnings of US$665.6 million in 2029 with earnings today of US$561.3 million, implying an earnings increase of about US$104 million over that period.
Uncover why Service Corporation International's fair value indicates a 25% potential upside to its current price, which could narrow quickly.
Three fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community cluster tightly between about 95.8 and 98.7, which shows a narrow spread in retail opinions on Service Corporation International. Those views were formed before the latest earnings and guidance. With cremation mix, case volumes and cash generation all in flux, you should expect investor opinions to differ widely and explore several alternative viewpoints before deciding how this story fits your portfolio.
Explore 2 other Service Corporation International fair value estimates, including one that suggests it could be worth just $95.83!
Don't just follow the ticker. Dig into the data and build a conviction that's truly your own.
Once you have formed a view on Service Corporation International, it can help to cross check that thesis against other businesses with different balance sheets, dividend profiles, and valuation setups using the Simply Wall St Screener.
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