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Datadog Posts Q3 Beat, Q4 Revenue Guide Implies 1st Sequential Growth Decline Since 2019
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Shares of Datadog Inc (NASDAQ:DDOG) tanked in early trading on Thursday, after the company Wednesday reported its third-quarter results.

Here are some key analyst takeaways:

  • Wedbush analyst Steven Wahrhaftig reaffirmed an Outperform rating, but cut the price target from $275 to $240.
  • Rosenblatt Securities analyst Blair Abernethy reiterated a Buy rating, and cut the price target from $305 to $285.
  • DA Davidson analyst Gil Luria reiterated a Buy rating and reduced the price target from $315 to $275.
  • Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Thomas Blakey reaffirmed an Overweight rating and cut the price target from $327 to $260.
  • BTIG analyst Gray Powell reiterated a Buy rating and lowered the price target from $289 to $260.
  • Guggenheim Securities analyst Howard Ma maintained a Buy rating and price target of $300.
  • Needham analyst Mike Cikos reiterated a Buy rating and price target of $300.

Check out other analyst stock ratings.

Wedbush: Datadog delivered strong beats across the board. Total revenue grew 35% year-on-year to $1.197 billion, surpassing Street expectations of $1.15 billion, Wahrhaftig said in a note. Total revenue was driven by strong adoption among the company’s AI and non-AI native customers, as well as more customers expanding their usage across more products, he added.

The strong results were, however, "largely overshadowed" by management’s disappointing fourth-quarter revenue guidance, the analyst stated. The revenue guide of $1.19-$1.2 billion implies around 25.5% year-on-year growth. The midpoint represents "the company’s first sequential growth decline since its IPO in 2019," he further stated.

Rosenblatt Securities: Datadog reported higher-than-expected total revenue and operating expenses below the forecast, Abernethy said. This resulted in "operating margins of 28%, well above our 23.3% expectation," he added.

Billings grew 30% year-on-year to $1.16 billion and RPO grew 38% to $3.85 billion, the analyst stated.

Datadog’s fourth-quarter revenue outlook includes "the minimum commitment from its largest customer and a near-term headwind from several large early renewals with higher commitments but better pricing," he further wrote.

DA Davidson: Datadog delivered a strong beat in the quarter, with higher platform adoption across its customer base, while the AI native cohort broadens, Luria said. The company added 140 net new $100K ARR (annual recurring revenue customers, he added.

The analyst noted, however, that the year-on-year growth in new $100K customers decelerated for the first time after five consecutive quarters of acceleration. While fourth-quarter revenue guidance was "conservative," management raised its 2026 revenue outlook by $60 million to $4.52 billion at the midpoint, above consensus expectations, he added.

Cantor Fitzgerald: Datadog’s revenue beat in the third quarter was higher than the average outperformance of around 4%, Blakey said. He noted that:

  • Revenue growth excluding AI-native customers accelerated for the fifth consecutive quarter
  • Growth excluding the largest customer accelerated, "highlighting strength across the broader business,"
  • New customers contributed around 30% of year-on-year revenue growth versus around 25% a year ago. This reflects "larger initial lands and faster ramps."

BTIG: While Datadog delivered "solid" results, investors are likely focusing on the fourth-quarter guide and trends at the company’s largest AI native customer, Powell said.

The midpoint of the fourth-quarter revenue guide of $1.195 billion came in below consensus of $1.202 billion and implies a sequential decline of around $2 million, he added.

"Overall, we think this print shows that DDOG’s core customer base and increasingly diverse AI customer cohort is capable of absorbing the single-customer variability," the analyst further wrote.

Guggenheim Securities: "Datadog still has more treats than tricks to pull out of its bag," Ma wrote. He expects the company to deliver a larger upside in the fourth quarter.

While the fourth-quarter outlook reflects deceleration, Datadog can comfortably reach over 30% growth in 2027, provided core growth holds steady at 29% and generates "the same amount of incremental revenue for all AI natives, which we believe may prove conservative," the analyst stated.

Needham: Datadog reported "stellar" quarterly results, delivering "an outsized magnitude of outperformance," Cikos said. The company has grown by more than 30% in each quarter so far this year, accelerating to 34% year to date, he added.

When adjusting for Datadog’s largest customer, the company’s business accelerated again to an estimated high-30% growth, the analyst added.

DDOG Price Action: Datadog shares had declined 5.70% to $177.96 at the time of publication on Thursday.

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Disclaimer:This article represents the opinion of the author only. It does not represent the opinion of Webull, nor should it be viewed as an indication that Webull either agrees with or confirms the truthfulness or accuracy of the information. It should not be considered as investment advice from Webull or anyone else, nor should it be used as the basis of any investment decision.
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