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According to established practice, the Financial Stability Council will officially release a new round of the list of systemically important banks in the world in November. Recently, Fitch & Co., Ltd. was the first to release the 2026 forecast results. According to forecasts, the five Chinese banks will continue to be on the G-SiBS list, but internal ratings are significantly divided — China Construction Bank is expected to jump 30 points, surpassing Agricultural Bank; ICBC is risking the third group threshold with 331 points, only 1 point above the threshold; and the Bank of China has declined slightly. It is worth noting that the weight of the “scale” factor in the G-SIB score is weakening, and the correlation and complexity of banks in global financial networks is increasingly becoming the key to determining their systemic importance.
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According to established practice, the Financial Stability Council will officially release a new round of the list of systemically important banks in the world in November. Recently, Fitch & Co., Ltd. was the first to release the 2026 forecast results. According to forecasts, the five Chinese banks will continue to be on the G-SiBS list, but internal ratings are significantly divided — China Construction Bank is expected to jump 30 points, surpassing Agricultural Bank; ICBC is risking the third group threshold with 331 points, only 1 point above the threshold; and the Bank of China has declined slightly. It is worth noting that the weight of the “scale” factor in the G-SIB score is weakening, and the correlation and complexity of banks in global financial networks is increasingly becoming the key to determining their systemic importance.
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