The defining feature of the Northern Hemisphere winter 2026/27 is uncertainty. Liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices are above $30 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), and gas inventories are markedly lower in key markets. Further price rallies are not a foregone conclusion, though. Potent downside risks remain, including a recovery of Middle Eastern LNG supply and weather-suppressed power and heating demand. Europe: Paying to keep the arbitrage closed  Europe enters winter with the lowest gas inventory of the 2020s, just as the lack of…

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