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TransDigm's 2027 Outlook Signals Profit Squeeze
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TransDigm Group Incorporated (NYSE:TDG) stock rose Tuesday after the aerospace supplier reported better-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 results.

The company reported adjusted earnings of $12.44 per share, beating the analyst estimate of $12.21.

Revenue jumped 23% year over year to $2.99 billion, topping the Wall Street estimate of $2.95 billion. GAAP earnings rose to $10.33 per share from $7.75 a year earlier.

TransDigm Profit Margins Face Pressure

Organic sales grew 14%. However, net income fell 4% to $586 million as higher interest and tax expenses weighed on profits.

Adjusted net income increased 12% to $706 million.

Gross profit reached $1.76 billion, while gross margin narrowed to 59% from 60.3%.

Adjusted EBITDA, measured as EBITDA As Defined, rose 20% to $1.58 billion. However, the margin fell to 53% from 54.2%.

Recent acquisitions reduced the margin by about two percentage points.

Commercial Aerospace Demand Drives Growth

Commercial aftermarket revenue rose 17% on a pro forma basis, while commercial original equipment manufacturer (OEM) revenue increased 15%. Defense revenue grew 12%.

Commercial transport OEM revenue surged 25%, while aftermarket revenue climbed 16%.

Business jet and helicopter aftermarket revenue increased 21%, while OEM revenue remained flat.

TransDigm Deploys More Than $7 Billion

TransDigm generated $2.19 billion in operating cash flow during fiscal 2026. It ended September with $2.28 billion in cash.

The company deployed more than $7 billion through acquisitions and share buybacks, including $4.4 billion in acquisitions and $2.8 billion in repurchases.

Fourth-quarter buybacks totaled $943 million.

TransDigm also completed its approximately $1.07 billion acquisition of Prince & Izant during the quarter.

Fiscal 2027 Earnings Forecast Falls Short

TransDigm forecasts fiscal 2027 adjusted earnings of $47.09 to $47.94 per share, below the analyst estimate of $48.80.

The outlook also signals continued pressure on profit margins. TransDigm expects its adjusted EBITDA margin to narrow to about 52% in fiscal 2027 from 52.7% in fiscal 2026.

The company expects GAAP earnings of $42.06 to $42.91 per share, also below the Wall Street estimate of $44.52.

However, its revenue forecast of $11.95 billion to $12.15 billion exceeds the $11.80 billion estimate.

At the midpoint, TransDigm expects revenue to grow 14% and adjusted earnings per share to rise 15%.

TDG Price Action: TransDigm Group shares were up 1.53% at $1237.52 at the time of publication on Tuesday, according to Benzinga Pro data.

Photo via Shutterstock

Disclaimer:This article represents the opinion of the author only. It does not represent the opinion of Webull, nor should it be viewed as an indication that Webull either agrees with or confirms the truthfulness or accuracy of the information. It should not be considered as investment advice from Webull or anyone else, nor should it be used as the basis of any investment decision.
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