
Despite posting strong earnings, Al Khaleej Investment P.J.S.C.'s (ADX:KICO) stock didn't move much over the last week. We think that investors might be worried about the foundations the earnings are built on.
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Al Khaleej Investment P.J.S.C has an accrual ratio of 0.21 for the year to September 2026. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of د.إ6.7m despite its profit of د.إ52.6m, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was د.إ22m a year ago though, so Al Khaleej Investment P.J.S.C has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. One positive for Al Khaleej Investment P.J.S.C shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
View our latest analysis for Al Khaleej Investment P.J.S.C
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Al Khaleej Investment P.J.S.C.
On top of the noteworthy accrual ratio and the spike in non-operating revenue, we can also see that Al Khaleej Investment P.J.S.C benefitted from unusual items worth د.إ50m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that Al Khaleej Investment P.J.S.C's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2026. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
Summing up, Al Khaleej Investment P.J.S.C received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Al Khaleej Investment P.J.S.C's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Al Khaleej Investment P.J.S.C.
Our examination of Al Khaleej Investment P.J.S.C has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.