
Scan geothermal-focused opportunities around Ormat Technologies' latest earnings and guidance by reviewing the hand picked 42 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks in the clean energy and infrastructure space.
To own Ormat Technologies, you need to be comfortable with a capital intensive geothermal and storage build out where execution is the main swing factor. The recent quarter showed revenue of US$275.12 million and net income of US$31.91 million, plus a small US$150,000 asset impairment that appears immaterial against the current earnings base.
The near term catalyst is management turning a large project and interconnection pipeline into higher electricity and storage margins. Analyst consensus on Simply Wall St expects these margins to improve over time. The biggest live risk remains balance sheet pressure, with about US$2.7 billion of net debt and interest costs that are not well covered by current earnings.
The raised full year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of US$1,170 million to US$1,200 million is the announcement that stands out. It ties directly into the key catalyst, which is whether Ormat Technologies can convert its geothermal, storage and Enhanced Geothermal Systems projects into steady, contracted cash flows without allowing costs or timelines to slip.
That new range also interacts with the risks already highlighted. Higher expected revenue does not resolve exposure to Chinese sourced storage hardware, potential future limits on tax credit eligibility, or the fact that P/E multiples are currently high relative to both peers and the broader renewable sector. Execution against this guidance is likely to be the next key focus for investors.
Ormat Technologies' long term story assumes the business can scale into a larger geothermal and storage platform while lifting profitability, and the analyst spreadsheet behind that view is quite specific. The projections point to revenue rising by 4.6% a year over the next three years and net profit stepping up from US$134.4 million today to US$234.5 million by 2029, with margins moving from 11.1% to 16.9% over the same period. That earnings path implies an increase of roughly US$100 million compared with current profit, even before you consider the more optimistic US$288.7 million and more cautious US$187.5 million scenarios that sit at the edges of the forecast range.
On those assumptions, the consensus framework links the Ormat Technologies narrative to a 2029 revenue figure of about US$1.4 billion and earnings of US$234.5 million. Analysts are effectively asking investors to underwrite mid single digit annual revenue growth, higher margins and a future year P/E of 41.1x that remains well above the 18.8x multiple cited for the broader US renewable energy group. This is occurring while the share count is expected to rise by roughly 1.19% per year and the valuation work is discounted back using an 8.57% to 8.6% rate.
Ormat Technologies' narrative projects revenue of about US$1.4 billion and earnings of US$234.5 million by 2029. This build assumes revenue growth of 4.6% per year and an earnings increase of roughly US$100 million from current profit of US$134.4 million.
Uncover how Ormat Technologies' fair value indicates a 27% potential upside to its current price before enthusiasm around the discount starts to fade.
You can read Ormat Technologies’ raised 2026 revenue guidance one way, but the most cautious analysts were still only pencilling in about US$1.2b of sales and roughly US$184.5 million of earnings by 2029 before this update. Those figures sketch a far more restrained story, so use this earnings news as a chance to compare several competing narratives.
Explore 2 other Ormat Technologies fair value estimates, including one that suggests as much as 89% downside from the current price!
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