M&A volumes globally continue to decline, according to PwC’s Brian Levy.
“They dropped by 9% in the first half of 2025 compared with the first half of 2024, while deal values are up 15%. We continue to see transactions in companies with a local focus within national borders, as well as in service companies or others less susceptible to tariffs,” Levy wrote in a June 24 blog post.
Strong cash flow and “healthy prospects” are key. A May 2025 PwC survey found that 30% of U.S. companies paused or reconsidered deals due to tariff uncertainty, signaling ongoing disruption for dealmakers in the months ahead.
“We expect dealmakers to feel the continued fallout over the coming months,” Levy adds.
Separately, the mixed job market — like the one we’re currently in — provides a clue as to how the second half of 2025 will unfold. If rate cuts follow, expect a rebound in M&A activity.
Buyers typically see value in sectors under labor pressure, and sellers feel more urgency if hiring slows or margins compress.
Bain & Co. says it’s “already seeing evidence that some companies are not allowing tariffs (and the changed economic world order they represent) to derail M&A activity.”
While deal activity dipped in April, deal value rebounded in May, the firm wrote in its mid-year report. This may partly reflect late-stage deals, as well as the fortitude of executives and the muted impact of U.S. tariff announcements.
For last week’s edition of the Deal Dispatch, click here.
Now Read
Image: Edited by Benzinga using Shutterstock