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Did Nine-Month Earnings Softness Just Shift California Water Service Group's (CWT) Investment Narrative?

Simply Wall St·11/12/2025 11:17:15
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  • California Water Service Group recently reported its third quarter and nine-month earnings for 2025, showing third quarter sales of US$311.24 million and net income of US$61.23 million, with steady earnings per share compared to the prior year.
  • An important finding is that while third quarter performance was stable, nine-month results reflected a year-over-year decline in both sales and net income, highlighting some pressure on longer-term revenue trends.
  • We’ll now consider how the nine-month dip in net income and sales may affect the longer-term investment case for California Water Service Group.

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California Water Service Group Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in California Water Service Group, you need to believe in the long-term value of regulated water utilities, underpinned by reliable demand and opportunities to earn higher allowed returns through successful rate cases. The recent nine-month sales and net income decline is a reminder of revenue pressure, but the steady third quarter suggests no material short-term shift in the company’s key catalyst: resolution of the California General Rate Case. The biggest risk remains delays or adverse outcomes in rate approvals given ongoing regulatory uncertainty.

Alongside earnings, the company’s recent declaration of its 323rd consecutive quarterly dividend at US$0.30 per share stands out. This signals consistency in capital returns, and while the dividend is a reassuring sign for income-focused investors, it does not offset the regulatory challenges still facing the business as it seeks to secure future revenue growth. However, with regulatory risk firmly top of mind, it’s important for investors to also recognize that...

Read the full narrative on California Water Service Group (it's free!)

California Water Service Group’s outlook estimates $1.1 billion in revenue and $187.9 million in earnings by 2028. This projection relies on 3.9% annual revenue growth and a $52.1 million earnings increase from $135.8 million currently.

Uncover how California Water Service Group's forecasts yield a $53.00 fair value, a 14% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

CWT Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
CWT Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Four members of the Simply Wall St Community put fair value estimates for California Water Service Group stock between US$36.06 and US$60.39 per share. Such wide-ranging views reflect how ongoing regulatory uncertainty could lead to markedly different expectations for the company’s future results.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on California Water Service Group - why the stock might be worth as much as 30% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.