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How Investors May Respond To EPAM (EPAM) Raising 2025 Guidance After Buyback and Q3 Sales Growth

Simply Wall St·11/19/2025 23:28:08
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  • EPAM Systems announced it has completed a buyback of 2,674,000 shares for US$499.78 million and reported a strong third quarter with sales of US$1.39 billion, while raising its full-year 2025 revenue and earnings guidance on the back of robust organic growth and favorable foreign exchange assumptions.
  • Despite higher sales, net income declined from the prior year and the guidance update suggests management's increased confidence in sustained top-line momentum and operational execution for the remainder of the year.
  • We'll explore how EPAM's upgraded full-year revenue outlook and improved organic growth expectations shape its investment narrative and outlook.

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EPAM Systems Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in EPAM Systems, you have to believe in its ability to sustain high-value digital transformation work as clients shift toward AI and platform-oriented services. The recently completed buyback and upgraded guidance reinforce confidence in revenue momentum, but persistent margin pressure from wage inflation and talent competition remains the most important risk, while short-term earnings growth is the key catalyst. The net impact of the news does not appear material to either risk or catalyst in the near term.

Among the recent announcements, the launch of AI/Run™. Transform Playbook stands out as most relevant, tying directly into EPAM’s ambition to lead in AI-native enterprise transformation. This product introduction speaks to the company’s efforts to capture higher-margin opportunities in AI consulting, an area that could partially offset risks from automation and low-code adoption, and is central to EPAM’s near-term growth narrative.

However, despite these advances, investors should be aware that ongoing margin pressure could intensify if...

Read the full narrative on EPAM Systems (it's free!)

EPAM Systems' outlook anticipates $6.5 billion in revenue and $582.4 million in earnings by 2028. This is based on an annual revenue growth rate of 8.8% and an earnings increase of $181.2 million from current earnings of $401.2 million.

Uncover how EPAM Systems' forecasts yield a $207.29 fair value, a 16% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

EPAM Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
EPAM Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Simply Wall St Community members shared nine fair value estimates for EPAM Systems, from US$160 to US$267 per share. While most expect growth from new AI initiatives, opinions on future earnings and competition show how much investor views can differ; see how other perspectives might inform your outlook.

Explore 9 other fair value estimates on EPAM Systems - why the stock might be worth as much as 49% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.