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The Bull Case For Darden Restaurants (DRI) Could Change Following Chuy’s Integration and Aggressive New Openings

Simply Wall St·11/25/2025 06:19:57
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  • Darden Restaurants recently reported a strong start to its fiscal year, highlighting above-expectation same-restaurant sales and earnings growth alongside its ongoing integration of Chuy’s Tex-Mex and plans to open 65 new restaurants.
  • An important insight is Darden’s continued expansion through acquisitions and unit growth, which contrasts with peers focused more on franchising models.
  • We’ll examine how Darden’s aggressive unit expansion and integration of Chuy’s reshape the investment narrative for the company.

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Darden Restaurants Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Darden Restaurants, you need to believe in the company’s ability to sustain growth through aggressive new restaurant openings and effective integration of recent acquisitions like Chuy’s. While the recent news of stronger-than-expected same-restaurant sales and earnings is positive, it does not materially change the biggest short-term catalyst, which remains the success of Darden’s unit expansion, nor does it ease the key risk, consumer demand trends in casual dining.

Among the company’s recent announcements, the plan to open 65 new restaurants this year is especially relevant. This step underscores Darden’s commitment to company-owned growth, a strategy that could help offset potential slowdowns in same-store traffic, while also increasing exposure to operational risks if consumer preferences shift or costs rise unexpectedly.

In contrast, any improvement in sales may not fully insulate the business from the risk of weakening consumer demand, a factor investors should be aware of as...

Read the full narrative on Darden Restaurants (it's free!)

Darden Restaurants' narrative projects $14.3 billion revenue and $1.4 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 5.7% yearly revenue growth and a $0.3 billion increase in earnings from $1.1 billion.

Uncover how Darden Restaurants' forecasts yield a $221.50 fair value, a 28% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

DRI Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
DRI Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Five members of the Simply Wall St Community estimate Darden’s fair value anywhere from US$135.95 to US$249.58, reflecting diverse outlooks. As Darden accelerates new openings, the wide gap in these fair value estimates points to differing views about future growth and consumer trends, consider exploring several viewpoints to broaden your assessment.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Darden Restaurants - why the stock might be worth as much as 44% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.