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To invest in ArcBest, you need to believe in its ability to capture new LTL customers, leverage technology to drive efficiency, and maintain agility in a freight market grappling with weak shipment volumes and pricing pressure. The recent expansion of ArcBest’s revolving credit facility strengthens its liquidity but does not materially change the main short-term catalyst, volume recovery in the freight market, or the biggest current risk, which remains industry overcapacity and soft rates pressuring margins.
Among recent developments, ArcBest’s third-quarter earnings report revealed continued declines in revenue and net income year-over-year. This earnings pressure underscores how soft demand and rate competition remain at the forefront, reinforcing that the main operational risk, ongoing margin compression tied to industry overcapacity, remains present despite the enhanced borrowing capacity supporting flexibility.
However, investors should also be mindful of widening competitive pressures that could further impact ArcBest’s net margins if...
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ArcBest's outlook anticipates $4.5 billion in revenue and $147.2 million in earnings by 2028. This reflects a 3.9% annual revenue growth rate but a decrease in earnings of $11.1 million from the current $158.3 million.
Uncover how ArcBest's forecasts yield a $81.42 fair value, a 27% upside to its current price.
Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community place ArcBest's worth between US$73.91 and US$81.42 per share. While many see opportunity, risks from ongoing industry overcapacity could weigh on future returns, make sure to review a broad range of community viewpoints before making your own assessment.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on ArcBest - why the stock might be worth as much as 27% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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