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To own Hawaiian Electric Industries today, you need to believe that wildfire-related liabilities can be contained while the regulated utility earns a fair return on the heavy spend needed for safety and grid resilience. The S&P SmallCap 600 inclusion may improve short term liquidity and visibility, but it does not materially change the central catalyst around legislative and regulatory support, or the key risk from remaining wildfire claims and the financing required to address them.
The recent announcement of a potential US$400 million senior notes offering sits directly alongside this index news, because it speaks to how Hawaiian Electric plans to fund settlement obligations and resilience investments. While index inclusion may attract incremental buying, investors still need to weigh the balance between higher leverage, interest costs and the company’s ability to maintain earnings and cash flow as wildfire mitigation and infrastructure spending continue.
Yet behind the extra trading volume from index funds, investors should be aware of the ongoing wildfire litigation and funding needs that...
Read the full narrative on Hawaiian Electric Industries (it's free!)
Hawaiian Electric Industries’ narrative projects $3.7 billion revenue and $145.4 million earnings by 2028. This requires 6.2% yearly revenue growth and about a $186.7 million earnings increase from -$41.3 million today.
Uncover how Hawaiian Electric Industries' forecasts yield a $10.75 fair value, a 10% downside to its current price.
Four fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$4 to over US$6,000 per share, underlining how far opinions can stretch. Set against the unresolved wildfire liabilities and the need for continued heavy investment in resilience, this spread invites you to compare several viewpoints on what may ultimately shape Hawaiian Electric’s performance.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Hawaiian Electric Industries - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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