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For AbCellera, the core belief as a shareholder is that its antibody discovery engine can translate into valuable drug assets and, over time, a portfolio of royalty streams. The latest update on ABCL635 moving into the Phase 2 portion of its Phase 1/2 trial, alongside continued progress on ABCL575, reinforces that the near term story now rests much more on clinical catalysts than on service revenue. With shares down sharply in recent months despite forecasts for strong revenue growth and a deep partnered pipeline, the key short term swing factors are upcoming data readouts through 2026 and how much cash the company burns to get there. The main risk is that AbCellera remains loss-making while its expensive valuation leans heavily on unproven clinical and royalty optionality.
However, investors should recognize how dependent the story has become on a few early clinical programs. Despite retreating, AbCellera Biologics' shares might still be trading above their fair value and there could be some more downside. Discover how much.Explore 9 other fair value estimates on AbCellera Biologics - why the stock might be worth over 5x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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