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Graco (GGG) Is Up 6.2% After 2025 Earnings Beat And Cautious 2026 Sales Guidance Has The Bull Case Changed?

Simply Wall St·02/09/2026 03:12:16
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  • In late January 2026, Graco Inc. reported past fourth-quarter 2025 sales of US$593.16 million and net income of US$132.49 million, along with full-year 2025 sales of US$2.24 billion and net income of US$521.84 million, and issued 2026 guidance for low single-digit organic sales growth and mid-single-digit growth including acquisitions.
  • The combination of higher quarterly and annual earnings per share and management’s new 2026 sales outlook gave investors fresh insight into Graco’s operating momentum and acquisition-driven expansion plans.
  • Next, we’ll examine how the company’s new 2026 guidance for organic and acquisition-driven sales growth shapes Graco’s investment narrative.

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What Is Graco's Investment Narrative?

To own Graco, you really have to believe in a steady, high-quality industrial franchise that can keep turning solid revenues into attractive profits, even if headline growth is modest. The latest results and 2026 guidance reinforce that story rather than reshape it: earnings and margins held up well through 2025, while management is signaling low single-digit organic growth and a bit more help from acquisitions. That keeps the near-term catalysts fairly clear, focused on execution against guidance, successful integration of any deals and disciplined capital allocation, including the recently increased dividend and sizable buyback authorization. At the same time, with the share price now close to consensus fair value and the stock already re-rating on the Q4 news, valuation risk and any stumble against the new outlook look more immediate than before.

However, investors should not overlook how quickly sentiment could shift if growth disappoints. Graco's shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued. Find out how large the opportunity might be.

Exploring Other Perspectives

GGG 1-Year Stock Price Chart
GGG 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Four fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$61 to just over US$93, showing how far apart individual views can be. Set against management’s cautious 2026 growth guidance and a share price already near analyst targets, that dispersion underlines why many investors are watching execution and acquisition progress closely before forming stronger convictions about Graco’s longer term performance.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Graco - why the stock might be worth as much as $93.44!

Build Your Own Graco Narrative

Disagree with this assessment? Create your own narrative in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Graco research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Graco research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Graco's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.