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To own Fair Isaac today, you have to believe in the durability of its position at the center of U.S. consumer credit scoring and the broader shift toward AI-driven decisioning software. The recent Tech Mahindra partnership, with its FICO Platform Centre of Excellence, reinforces that software story in banking and potentially new verticals, but it is more of a medium-term ecosystem builder than an immediate earnings catalyst. Near term, the reiterated 2026 guidance, solid first-quarter results, and ongoing buybacks matter more for sentiment after a sharp share price pullback, even as the stock still trades on a rich earnings multiple versus peers. The key risk is that high expectations around growth and pricing power in scores and software collide with high leverage and any slowdown in client technology spending.
However, investors should also be aware of how much needs to go right to justify today’s valuation. Despite retreating, Fair Isaac's shares might still be trading 8% above their fair value. Discover the potential downside here.Explore 15 other fair value estimates on Fair Isaac - why the stock might be worth as much as 60% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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