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To own Ameriprise, you need to believe its advice driven wealth and asset management model can keep generating attractive returns through market cycles, despite volatility, asset management outflows, and pressure to retain top advisers. Sweeney’s 2026 retirement highlights succession risk in the core Advice & Wealth Management segment, but with a seasoned management team and experienced board, this leadership change does not currently appear to alter the key near term catalyst of sustaining strong client flows and adviser productivity.
In that context, the recent fourth quarter update, where management highlighted record revenue and earnings in Advice & Wealth Management and stronger than expected wrap flows from existing advisers, looks especially important. It underscores how much of the near term story hinges on maintaining organic flows and adviser productivity even as leadership evolves, at a time when higher competition for advisers, market volatility, and rate driven pressure on interest income already sit in the background.
Yet beneath those strong flows and leadership experience, investors should still be aware of how adviser retention costs and competition could...
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Ameriprise Financial's narrative projects $20.7 billion revenue and $4.0 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 4.4% yearly revenue growth and about a $0.8 billion earnings increase from $3.2 billion today.
Uncover how Ameriprise Financial's forecasts yield a $538.60 fair value, a 14% upside to its current price.
Before Sweeney’s retirement was announced, the most optimistic analysts expected revenue near US$19.9 billion and earnings around US$4.2 billion by 2028, while also flagging regulatory and high rate risks to interest sensitive products. Those forecasts paint a much more optimistic path than the baseline view you have seen so far, and Sweeney’s exit could be one of several factors that prompt you to reassess which narrative feels more realistic for Ameriprise now.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Ameriprise Financial - why the stock might be worth just $538.60!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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