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To own Textron, you need to believe in its ability to grow earnings across aviation, defense, and industrial while keeping costs and mix under control. The most important near term catalyst remains execution in aviation and Bell, with improving operations and aftermarket demand. The new buyback authorization and Level D simulator milestone support the broader story, but do not fundamentally change the key risk around margins if product mix and Industrial volumes stay under pressure.
The fresh authorization to repurchase up to 25,000,000 shares fits into Textron’s existing pattern of buybacks, which has already reduced the share count meaningfully in recent years. For investors focused on catalysts, this matters mainly because it can amplify the effect of any improvement in earnings from programs like Denali, FLRAA, or aviation aftermarket growth, while also partly offsetting the impact if Industrial and aviation profitability remain uneven.
Yet, against these potential benefits, investors still need to watch closely for the risk that weaker Industrial demand and aviation mix could...
Read the full narrative on Textron (it's free!)
Textron's narrative projects $16.2 billion revenue and $1.1 billion earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Textron's forecasts yield a $98.41 fair value, in line with its current price.
Some of the lowest analysts see a tougher path than consensus, with revenue only reaching about US$14.7 billion and earnings around US$1.1 billion, so before this simulator news they were already assuming slower progress and more pressure from tariffs and production issues than the base case, which shows how differently you and other investors might judge Textron’s outlook once new information like this is taken into account.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Textron - why the stock might be worth as much as $98.41!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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