Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) stock fell Thursday following the company’s fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, released on Feb. 12, as analyst reactions weighed on the stock.
For the fourth quarter, Rivian reported revenue of $1.29 billion, down from $1.73 billion a year earlier. Gross profit came in at $120 million, down from $170 million in the prior-year quarter. For the full year 2025, revenue rose 8% to $5.39 billion.
Notably, Rivian posted a full-year gross profit of $144 million, a significant improvement from a $1.2 billion gross loss in 2024, helped by stronger software performance and cost reductions.
Following the results, analysts issued mixed updates. Stifel reiterated a Buy rating and raised its price forecast to $20, while UBS upgraded the stock to Neutral with a $16 forecast. DA Davidson downgraded Rivian to Underperform and cut its forecast to $14. The stock currently has a Hold consensus rating, with an average forecast price of $17.73.
Separately, CEO Robert Scaringe and CFO Claire McDonough sold shares on Feb. 18 under pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 trading plans. Scaringe sold 34,900 shares worth roughly $586,000, while McDonough sold 27,133 shares valued at about $456,000, at prices ranging between $16.49 and $17.08.
Adding to the discussion, investor Ross Gerber argued Tesla Inc.’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) brand has weakened and floated the idea of Tesla selling its EV business to Rivian. He has also touted Rivian’s upcoming R2 crossover, expected to start around $45,000.
Technical Analysis
The stock is currently trading 1.4% above its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) but is 11.6% below its 50-day SMA and 3.6% below its 100-day SMA, indicating a mixed short-term trend. Over the past 12 months, shares have increased by 11.13% and are currently positioned closer to their 52-week lows than highs.
The RSI is at 50.71, which is considered neutral territory, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. Meanwhile, MACD shows a value of -0.4092, with the signal line at -0.7339, indicating a bullish crossover as the MACD is above the signal line.
The combination of a neutral RSI and a bullish MACD suggests mixed momentum, indicating that while the stock is stable, there may be upward potential if market conditions improve.
- Key Resistance: $18.00
- Key Support: $13.50
Top ETF Exposure
- First Trust NASDAQ Clean Edge Green Energy Index Fund (NASDAQ:QCLN): 8.90% Weight
- iShares Morningstar Small-Cap Value ETF (NYSE:ISCV): 0.55% Weight
- Invesco Global Clean Energy ETF (NYSE:PBD): 1.13% Weight
Significance: Because RIVN carries significant weight in these funds, any significant inflows or outflows will likely trigger automatic buying or selling of the stock.
RIVN Price Action: Rivian Automotive shares were down 6.53% at $15.09 at the time of publication on Thursday, according to Benzinga Pro data.
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