
IDACORP scores just 1/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.
The Dividend Discount Model looks at a stock as a stream of future dividends, then estimates what that stream could be worth today based on expected growth and a required return. It is especially common for regulated utilities where dividends are a key part of the investment case.
For IDACORP, the model uses a current dividend per share of about US$4.01, a return on equity of 9.37% and a payout ratio of roughly 60.12%. The implied long term dividend growth rate used in the model is 3.41%, capped from a higher starting estimate of 3.74%. That growth rate sits slightly below the model’s raw expected growth input of about 3.74%, which adds a degree of caution around projections for future dividend expansion.
Putting these inputs together, the DDM output points to an estimated intrinsic value of US$112.32 per share. Compared with the recent share price of US$143.45, this implies the stock is around 27.7% above this dividend based valuation framework.
Result: OVERVALUED
Our Dividend Discount Model (DDM) analysis suggests IDACORP may be overvalued by 27.7%. Discover 56 high quality undervalued stocks or create your own screener to find better value opportunities.
For a profitable company like IDACORP, the P/E ratio is a useful way to see how much investors are paying for each dollar of earnings. It ties the share price directly to current profits, which is especially relevant for established utilities where earnings are a key focus.
What counts as a “normal” P/E depends on how the market views a company’s growth potential and risk. Higher expected growth or lower perceived risk can justify a higher P/E, while slower growth or higher risk usually points to a lower multiple being more reasonable.
IDACORP currently trades on a P/E of 24.35x, which is close to both the Electric Utilities industry average of 22.48x and the peer average of 24.83x. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio for IDACORP is 20.72x. This Fair Ratio is a proprietary estimate of what a suitable P/E might be given factors such as the company’s earnings growth profile, industry, profit margins, market cap and risk characteristics. Because it blends these company specific inputs, it can be more informative than a simple comparison with peers or the industry alone.
Comparing the current P/E of 24.35x with the Fair Ratio of 20.72x suggests the shares are priced above this customised benchmark.
Result: OVERVALUED
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Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, a simple tool on Simply Wall St’s Community page that lets you set your own story for IDACORP by linking your assumptions about future revenue, earnings, margins and fair value to a clear forecast that updates automatically when new news or earnings arrive, then compares your Fair Value to the current price so you can judge whether it looks like a buy or a sell for you. You can lean closer to the more optimistic view that sees IDACORP at a Fair Value of about US$141.63 based on higher growth and margins, or a more cautious view that treats the analysts’ consensus target of about US$132.67 as closer to fair, all inside the same easy framework.
Do you think there's more to the story for IDACORP? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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