Why Chart Industries’ latest earnings matter for shareholders
Chart Industries (GTLS) just released fourth quarter and full year 2025 results, with both net income and sales below the prior year and revenue and earnings missing Wall Street forecasts.
See our latest analysis for Chart Industries.
At a share price of $207.30, Chart Industries has seen relatively steady recent trading, with a 90 day share price return of 1.60% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 8.79%. This suggests that longer term holders have fared better than short term traders around this earnings miss.
If this earnings update has you reviewing your watchlist, it could be a good moment to broaden your search with our 23 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks for ideas linked to energy and infrastructure themes.
With the shares near $207 and an indicated intrinsic value gap of roughly 26%, plus mixed earnings and modest recent returns, you have to ask: is Chart Industries trading at a discount, or is the market already pricing in future growth?
Most Popular Narrative: 30% Overvalued
Compared with the latest close at $207.30, the most followed narrative pegs fair value closer to $206.67, which puts the current price slightly above that mark while still implying a sizeable longer term upside from its own earnings path.
The analysts have a consensus price target of $206.667 for Chart Industries based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $227.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $169.0.
Want to see what kind of earnings ramp and margin profile has to line up to support that future valuation reset? The story rests on richer profits, rising revenues and a lower future earnings multiple that still expects solid execution. The full narrative joins those moving parts into one valuation roadmap.
Result: Fair Value of $206.67 (OVERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, you still need to weigh risks such as project delays in LNG or space contracts and uncertainty in industrial gas and hydrogen demand that could unsettle this story.
Find out about the key risks to this Chart Industries narrative.
Another view on Chart Industries’ value
While the analyst narrative points to a fair value of $206.67 and labels the shares as overvalued at $207.30, our DCF model presents a different picture, with an estimated future cash flow value of $279.71. That difference suggests a very different risk reward trade off, so which story do you trust more?
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
Next Steps
Mixed messages on value can be frustrating. If this update has your view on Chart Industries in flux, take a moment to look through the numbers yourself, weigh both the risks and the potential rewards, and see how our breakdown of 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs lines up with your own judgement.
Ready for more investment ideas?
If Chart Industries has you thinking harder about where your money works best, do not stop here. Broaden your search and give yourself more options.
- Target value by scanning our 46 high quality undervalued stocks to spot companies where price and fundamentals may be out of sync.
- Prioritise resilience with the 74 resilient stocks with low risk scores highlighting businesses that score well on stability and financial risk checks.
- Get ahead of the crowd using the screener containing 24 high quality undiscovered gems and see which quieter names stand out on quality metrics before they gain wider attention.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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