
Crane scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.
A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model takes projected cash flows that a company is expected to generate in the future and discounts them back to a single estimate of what that stream of cash is worth in today's dollars.
For Crane, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month free cash flow stands at about $347.6 million, and analysts have supplied yearly free cash flow estimates out to 2028. Simply Wall St then extends those projections further, with free cash flow for 2030 projected at $620.2 million and additional estimated values through 2035 based on a gradual growth profile.
When all those projected cash flows are discounted back to today, the model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of US$192.53 per share. At the recent share price of US$171.22, this valuation suggests the stock appears about 11.1% undervalued on this DCF view.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Crane is undervalued by 11.1%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 48 more high quality undervalued stocks.
For profitable companies, the P/E ratio is a straightforward way to think about value because it connects what you pay for each share with the earnings that the business is currently generating. A higher or lower P/E can make sense depending on what investors expect for future growth and how much risk they see in those earnings.
Crane currently trades on a P/E of 29.77x. That sits above the Machinery industry average P/E of 26.03x and close to the peer average of 28.94x, which puts the stock toward the higher end of the sector range. Simply Wall St also calculates a proprietary “Fair Ratio” for Crane of 26.88x, which is an estimate of the P/E that might be reasonable given factors like the company’s earnings growth profile, profit margins, size and risk characteristics.
This Fair Ratio is more tailored than a simple industry or peer comparison because it adjusts for Crane’s specific fundamentals instead of assuming all Machinery companies deserve the same multiple. Comparing Crane’s current P/E of 29.77x to the Fair Ratio of 26.88x suggests the shares are trading above that modelled level.
Result: OVERVALUED
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Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce Narratives. These are simple stories you and other investors create on Simply Wall St’s Community page that link your view of Crane’s business to specific forecasts for revenue, earnings and margins. Narratives then translate those forecasts into a Fair Value you can compare with today’s price to decide whether the shares look attractive or expensive. Each Narrative updates automatically as fresh news or earnings arrive. For example, a bullish user who thinks Crane can justify a Fair Value near US$238 per share and a more cautious user who sees only US$161 per share can both see how their story, numbers and Fair Value move over time as the facts change.
Do you think there's more to the story for Crane? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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