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To own Huntsman, you have to believe that its specialty chemicals portfolio and restructuring efforts can eventually translate cash generation into a more durable earnings profile, despite current losses and weak MDI/polyurethane conditions. The latest dividend confirmation and share price bounce highlight near term focus on cash and shareholder returns, but do not materially change the key near term catalyst of execution on cost cuts, or the biggest risk from prolonged overcapacity and pricing pressure in core markets.
The dividend cut in late 2025, from US$0.25 to US$0.0875 per share, is the most relevant prior announcement here, because it underlines how Huntsman’s cash returns to shareholders are closely tied to underlying earnings and cash generation. Seen alongside management’s current emphasis on restructuring and cost control, it frames the dividend not as a fixed feature, but as something that can move with the success or setbacks of Huntsman’s ongoing turnaround efforts.
But while the dividend and restructuring focus may look reassuring on the surface, investors should be aware that prolonged global MDI overcapacity could still...
Read the full narrative on Huntsman (it's free!)
Huntsman’s narrative projects $6.4 billion revenue and $43.7 million earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Huntsman's forecasts yield a $12.69 fair value, a 6% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts were far more cautious, expecting only about 1.4 percent annual revenue growth and earnings of roughly US$121.5 million by 2028, so if you are weighing today’s dividend news against these weaker assumptions, it is worth remembering that reasonable people can look at the same company and reach very different conclusions about its future.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Huntsman - why the stock might be worth as much as 16% more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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