KBR (KBR) shares are back in focus after the company secured a 50 month project management and technical services contract for Zallaf’s South Refinery Project in Ubari, Southwest Libya.
See our latest analysis for KBR.
The contract wins in Libya and Saudi Arabia come after a tougher period for the stock, with a 30 day share price return of 10.11% and a 1 year total shareholder return decline of 24.78%, suggesting momentum has recently weakened despite these new project wins.
If this kind of long term infrastructure work interests you, it can be worth scanning other names tied to major energy and power build outs through the 25 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks
KBR trades at US$37.09 with an indicated intrinsic value gap and a sizeable discount to the average analyst price target, so are investors overlooking these long term contracts, or is the market already pricing in future growth?
Most Popular Narrative: 30.9% Undervalued
At a last close of $37.09 against a narrative fair value of $53.67, the current price sits well below what the most followed thesis implies.
The analysts have a consensus price target of $60.714 for KBR based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $67.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $53.0.
Want to see what has to happen for that gap to close? The core narrative leans on steadier revenue progress, firmer margins, and a richer earnings multiple working together.
Result: Fair Value of $53.67 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, that upside story could be tested if government contract delays persist, or if margin pressure from complex fixed price projects proves tougher than analysts currently assume.
Find out about the key risks to this KBR narrative.
Next Steps
With both risks and rewards on the table, do you feel the balance matches your expectations, or are you seeing something different in the numbers? To pressure test that view against the market, review the 6 key rewards and 1 important warning sign
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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