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To own Seadrill, you need to believe that tight high spec offshore rig supply and growing deepwater activity can eventually translate into higher utilization, firmer day rates, and a path to sustained profitability despite recent losses. The biggest near term catalyst remains contract wins and backlog visibility, while key risks still center on softer utilization, legal exposures, and idle or aging rigs. Samir Ali’s appointment is credible but does not immediately change these near term drivers in a material way.
The most relevant recent announcement alongside the CEO change is Seadrill’s 2026 revenue guidance of US$1.40–US$1.45 billion, issued with its 2025 results. This guidance frames the operational bar that Ali’s leadership will be judged against, especially after a 2025 net loss of US$77.0 million and a US$22 million impairment. How effectively the new CEO converts the growing backlog, such as the West Saturn and West Capella contracts, into improved earnings will be closely watched.
However, investors also need to be aware that persistent legal and regulatory issues could still disrupt cash flows and margins if...
Read the full narrative on Seadrill (it's free!)
Seadrill's narrative projects $1.6 billion revenue and $231.6 million earnings by 2028. This requires 7.2% yearly revenue growth and about a $154.6 million earnings increase from $77.0 million today.
Uncover how Seadrill's forecasts yield a $43.50 fair value, a 4% downside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts were already cautious, assuming revenue of about US$1.5 billion and earnings of roughly US$219 million by 2029, so you may find their focus on long term renewable competition and ESG cost pressures a useful counterpoint to the more upbeat backlog driven story.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Seadrill - why the stock might be worth over 8x more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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