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To own StandardAero, you need to believe in a long runway of recurring engine MRO work, especially on LEAP and other high value platforms, and in improving cash conversion as zero margin pass through revenue rolls off. The Robinson Helicopter RR300 win adds incremental, specialized rotary-wing volume, but it does not meaningfully change the near term focus on ramping LEAP and CFM56 in Dallas Fort Worth or the key risk around lingering parts and casting constraints.
The recent General Terms Agreement with AviLease for LEAP 1A/1B and CFM56 7B support is more directly tied to the central LEAP growth thesis, since it feeds volumes into the San Antonio and Winnipeg networks that are expected to scale toward higher margin performance restoration work. Against that backdrop, the Robinson R66 agreement looks more like a complementary, recurring niche that reinforces StandardAero’s multi platform breadth rather than a new core earnings driver.
Yet investors should also weigh how persistent parts shortages could still affect...
Read the full narrative on StandardAero (it's free!)
StandardAero's narrative projects $7.3 billion revenue and $549.2 million earnings by 2028. This requires 7.4% yearly revenue growth and about a $364.5 million earnings increase from $184.7 million today.
Uncover how StandardAero's forecasts yield a $35.50 fair value, a 36% upside to its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see fair value for StandardAero between US$33.70 and US$49.66, underscoring how far opinions can spread. You can set those views against the core catalyst of LEAP program ramp up and decide how different assumptions about future shop visit mix might influence long run performance and risk.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on StandardAero - why the stock might be worth just $33.70!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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