
Find out why Zimmer Biomet Holdings's -20.0% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers.
A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a business could be worth by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting those amounts back to today’s dollars. It is essentially asking what those future cash flows are worth right now.
For Zimmer Biomet Holdings, the model uses a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach based on cash flow projections. The latest twelve month free cash flow is about $1.03b. Analyst estimates and subsequent extrapolations by Simply Wall St extend these cash flows out over the next decade, with projected free cash flow of $2.42b in 2035 according to the 10 year schedule provided.
When all those projected cash flows are discounted back, the model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of about $166.22 per share. Compared with the recent share price of roughly $87.64, the DCF output suggests the stock may be 47.3% undervalued based on these assumptions and inputs.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Zimmer Biomet Holdings is undervalued by 47.3%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 55 more high quality undervalued stocks.
For profitable companies, the P/E ratio is a useful shorthand because it connects what you pay per share to the earnings that each share produces. It helps you judge how much investors are currently willing to pay for US$1 of earnings.
What counts as a “normal” P/E depends a lot on growth expectations and risk. Higher expected earnings growth and lower perceived risk can justify a higher P/E, while slower growth and higher risk usually point to a lower, more cautious multiple.
Zimmer Biomet currently trades on a P/E of 24.32x. That sits below the Medical Equipment industry average P/E of about 27.50x and well below the peer average of 49.42x. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio for Zimmer Biomet is 31.08x, which is its proprietary estimate of what a reasonable P/E might be given the company’s earnings growth profile, margins, industry, market cap and specific risks.
This Fair Ratio can be more informative than a simple industry or peer comparison because it adjusts for company specific factors rather than treating all peers as identical. Since Zimmer Biomet’s current P/E of 24.32x is below the Fair Ratio of 31.08x, the multiple based view points to the shares looking undervalued on these inputs.
Result: UNDERVALUED
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Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to think about valuation, and that is Narratives. This is where you spell out your story for Zimmer Biomet Holdings, link it to a simple forecast for revenue, earnings and margins, and let the Simply Wall St Community page turn that into a fair value that can be compared with the current price. It will update automatically when new earnings or news arrive, and even show how different investors can land in very different places. For example, one investor focusing on U.S. execution, digital health and robotics might lean toward a higher fair value closer to the US$138 analyst target. Another who is more focused on pricing pressure, regulatory risk and acquisition integration might anchor nearer the US$96 target.
Do you think there's more to the story for Zimmer Biomet Holdings? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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