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To own Arrowhead, you generally need to believe that RNAi can become a meaningful, multi-product business and that plozasiran is central to that story. The new two-year plozasiran data strengthen the program’s clinical profile, but the key near term swing factor remains the upcoming Phase 3 readouts and regulatory milestones, while the biggest risk is still that any late stage setback for plozasiran or other core assets could quickly change the revenue outlook.
The most directly relevant recent announcement is Arrowhead’s plan to complete the SHASTA-3, SHASTA-4, and MUIR-3 Phase 3 plozasiran trials in mid 2026, with a planned U.S. filing by year end 2026. The fresh long term data in broader hypertriglyceridemia now sit alongside those timelines, giving investors more context as they weigh plozasiran’s role in Arrowhead’s potential transition from primarily milestone-driven revenue toward a more product-based model.
Yet, against this promising backdrop, investors should also be aware that regulatory or late stage clinical surprises could still...
Read the full narrative on Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (it's free!)
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals’ narrative projects $398.8 million revenue and $64.0 million earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals' forecasts yield a $64.08 fair value, a 11% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts were assuming revenue could fall about 49 percent a year and still only reach US$77.9 million by 2028, so compared with the more balanced risk of partner or trial setbacks, their view highlights how sharply opinions can diverge and why new long term data on plozasiran might eventually shift those expectations.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals - why the stock might be worth just $64.08!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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