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To own Harmonic, you need to believe its broadband and video software can stay relevant as operators modernize networks and shift more workloads to the cloud. The latest KBRO fiber-on-demand expansion and sports streaming upgrades reinforce that story but do not remove the near term risk from customer concentration and pricing pressure, or change the importance of converting its strong backlog into revenue and earnings in line with guidance.
Among the recent announcements, KBRO’s use of Harmonic’s cOS-powered, fiber-on-demand solution stands out as most relevant. It ties directly to the multi year broadband upgrade catalyst by showing how operators can add multi gigabit capacity and converge DOCSIS and fiber using existing infrastructure, which may help Harmonic defend pricing and differentiation even as competition from cloud providers and open solutions remains an ongoing risk.
Yet behind these promising wins, investors should also be aware of the risk that a shrinking pool of large customers could still...
Read the full narrative on Harmonic (it's free!)
Harmonic's narrative projects $695.5 million revenue and $70.6 million earnings by 2028. This requires a 0.3% yearly revenue decline and about a $2 million earnings increase from $68.6 million today.
Uncover how Harmonic's forecasts yield a $12.71 fair value, a 36% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts were assuming only about 1% annual revenue growth and roughly US$61.3 million in earnings by 2028, so compared with the consensus narrative they are far more cautious about how far Harmonic’s broadband momentum and these new product wins can really go.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Harmonic - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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