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To own Huntsman, you need to believe the company can convert its specialty chemicals focus into more resilient earnings despite recent losses and soft end markets. The Hungary expansion modestly supports that story by bolstering high-value Performance Products capacity in Europe, but it does not fundamentally change the key near term catalyst, which is any clear improvement in volumes and pricing, or the biggest current risk around prolonged overcapacity and weak construction-related demand.
Among recent announcements, the closure of the Moers, Germany maleic anhydride facility and shift of production to the US is most relevant here. Taken together with the Petfurdo expansion, Huntsman appears to be reshaping its footprint toward higher-value, more flexible assets while exiting higher-cost sites. For investors focused on catalysts, these moves sit against a backdrop of continued net losses and underline how dependent the story still is on better utilization and margins.
Yet while Hungary adds useful capacity, investors should be aware that European overcapacity and cost pressures could still...
Read the full narrative on Huntsman (it's free!)
Huntsman's narrative projects $6.4 billion revenue and $43.7 million earnings by 2028. This requires 2.7% yearly revenue growth and a $353.7 million earnings increase from -$310.0 million today.
Uncover how Huntsman's forecasts yield a $12.69 fair value, in line with its current price.
The most pessimistic analysts were assuming only about 1.4 percent annual revenue growth to roughly US$6.1 billion and modest 2 percent margins by 2028, so compared with that cautious view and the focus on European overcapacity, this Hungary expansion could nudge expectations either way as new information comes through and you weigh different possible paths for Huntsman.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Huntsman - why the stock might be worth as much as 11% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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