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To own McEwen today, you largely need to believe in its plan to grow production through a mix of brownfield restarts and disciplined exploration. The updated Tartan resource adds scale and a clearer path to a 500 tpd restart, which supports the near term production growth story, but it does not remove the key execution risk around actually bringing new ounces online on time and on budget.
The Tartan update also fits neatly beside the recent Grey Fox resource upgrade, which outlined a larger, higher confidence gold inventory in another established mining camp. Together, these two projects help explain why some analysts see McEwen as building a pipeline of smaller, staged projects that could smooth future production and cash flow, rather than relying on any single large build to carry the growth narrative.
Yet behind the appeal of a Tartan restart, investors should be aware of the risk that refurbishing older infrastructure and managing costs could...
Read the full narrative on McEwen (it's free!)
McEwen's narrative projects $518.3 million revenue and $278.2 million earnings by 2029. This requires 37.9% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $243.8 million from $34.4 million today.
Uncover how McEwen's forecasts yield a $31.70 fair value, a 48% upside to its current price.
Before this Tartan news, the most optimistic analysts were assuming revenue could reach about US$466 million and earnings US$114 million by 2029, which is far more upbeat than consensus and leans heavily on timely new mines despite refurbishment and delay risks that may look different now.
Explore 6 other fair value estimates on McEwen - why the stock might be worth just $21.50!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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